In a World This Uncertain, You Need to Understand Risk

A Cambridge statistician reveals how to make smarter decisions when the news is chaotic, the markets are shaky, and the future feels unknowable.

Markets are volatile. AI is rewriting the rules. The news cycle is a constant swirl of predictions and panic.

In a world this uncertain, how do we make smart decisions? How do we separate real risk from hype, signal from noise, or coincidence from pattern? And how do we keep a clear head when so much feels out of our control?

Here’s some guidance on how to navigate uncertainty from Cambridge statistician David Spiegelhalter, a man who’s been called the "greatest living statistical communicator":